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Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered broad-based strength: total net revenues rose 50% YoY to $927M, GAAP diluted EPS increased 106% YoY to $0.37, and net income grew 114% YoY to $336M .
  • Results beat Wall Street consensus: revenue exceeded S&P Global consensus by ~$9.8M (1.1%)* and Primary EPS beat by ~$0.12*; GAAP diluted EPS of $0.37 contrasted with Primary EPS actual of ~$0.44*, reflecting non-GAAP normalization .
  • Record customer engagement and scale: Net Deposits hit $18.0B; Gold subscribers reached 3.2M; options contracts set a quarterly record at 500M; Total Platform Assets reached $221B .
  • Strategic catalysts: board increased share repurchase authorization by $500M to $1.5B (remaining ~$833M to execute over ~2 years), and management highlighted rapid product velocity (Legend, futures, prediction markets) plus Banking, Strategies, and Cortex initiatives .
  • FY25 expense outlook updated to include TradePMR costs: Adjusted OpEx + SBC guided to $2.085B–$2.185B (vs. prior $2.0B–$2.1B), excluding Bitstamp costs and credit losses .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “We significantly accelerated product innovation… Robinhood Strategies, Banking, and Cortex,” driving “record-breaking net deposits, Robinhood Gold subscriptions, and options volume” (Vlad Tenev) .
  • Transaction-based revenues surged 77% YoY to $583M, led by crypto $252M (+100%), options $240M (+56%), and equities $56M (+44%) .
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 90% YoY to $470M and margin expanded to 51% (from 40% a year ago), signaling strong operating leverage .

What Went Wrong

  • Sequential revenue fell 9% vs. Q4 2024 ($1.014B to $927M), largely reflecting lower crypto activity quarter-over-quarter .
  • Provision for credit losses increased to $24M (vs. $19M in Q4), with brokerage-related losses (fraud) contributing to the step-up (team engaged) .
  • GAAP operating expenses rose 22% QoQ to $557M; marketing and G&A both expanded sequentially, consistent with growth investments and strategic initiatives .

Financial Results

Consolidated P&L and Margins

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Total Net Revenues ($USD Millions)$637 $1,014 $927
Net Income ($USD Millions)$150 $916 $336
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.17 $1.01 $0.37
Net Margin %24% 90% 36%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$268 $613 $470
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %42% 60% 51%
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$486 $458 $557
Adjusted Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$397 $431 $460
Share-Based Compensation ($USD Millions)$79 $77 $73

Revenue Components

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Transaction-based revenues ($USD Millions)$319 $672 $583
- Crypto revenue ($USD Millions)$61 $358 $252
- Options revenue ($USD Millions)$202 $222 $240
- Equities revenue ($USD Millions)$37 $61 $56
Net interest revenues ($USD Millions)$274 $296 $290
Other revenues ($USD Millions)$44 $46 $54

KPIs and Operating Metrics

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Funded Customers (Millions)24.3 25.2 25.8
Investment Accounts (Millions)25.1 26.2 27.0
Assets Under Custody / Total Platform Assets ($USD Billions)$152.2 (AUC) $193.0 (AUC) $221.0 (TPA)
Net Deposits ($USD Billions)$10.0 $16.1 $18.0
ARPU ($USD)$105 $164 $145
Gold Subscribers (Millions)2.2 2.6 3.2
Cash Sweep ($USD Billions)$24.5 $26.1 $28.2
Margin Book ($USD Billions)$5.5 $7.9 $8.8
Equity Notional Trading Volumes ($USD Billions)$286.2 $423.0 $413.0
Options Contracts Traded (Millions)443.4 477.0 500.0
Crypto Notional Trading Volumes ($USD Billions)$14.4 $71.0 $46.0

Note: Total Platform Assets (TPA) introduced in Q1 2025 includes AUC plus $41B of RIAs’ assets managed on TradePMR’s platform not custodied by Robinhood .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted OpEx and SBC (Non-GAAP)FY 2025$2.0B–$2.1B (provided at Q4; excluded TradePMR) $2.085B–$2.185B (adds ~$85M TradePMR) Raised to include TradePMR costs

Additional considerations:

  • Management reiterated that outlook excludes provision for credit losses, Bitstamp costs, and potential significant regulatory matters .
  • NII sensitivity: a 25 bps rate cut implies ~$50M headwind standalone; asset growth and trading provide offsets (no formal NII guidance) .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (Prior)Q4 2024 (Prior)Q1 2025 (Current)Trend
Active trader platform (Legend)Announced Legend; strong adoption; roadmap for futures/index options Legend added nearly 30 indicators; crypto trading on desktop Ongoing speed upgrades; index options & crypto on Legend; strong incremental volumes Strengthening product velocity
Futures/prediction marketsAnnounced “coming soon” with low fees; launched election market April futures >4.5M contracts; >1B event contracts in last 6 months Rapid scaling, incremental volumes
Crypto businessYoY notional up 112%; selection expanded Record Q4 crypto; +700% YoY crypto revenue; Bitstamp deal targeted 1H25 Crypto rev ~$252M; market share focus; smart routing; tiered pricing experiments Diversifying and optimizing take rates
Gold membership (incl. Credit Card)~100k cards; Gold adoption >9% 2.6M Gold subscribers; >100k cardholders 3.2M Gold subs; ~200k cardholders; high attach among new users Expanding adoption and monetization
Deposits & assetsNet Deposits $10B; AUC $152B Net Deposits $16.1B; AUC $193B Net Deposits $18.0B; TPA $221B; April Net Deposits $6.8B Sustained inflows and scale
Regulatory/policyUK options FCA approval; outlook detail Bitstamp/TradePMR pending approvals Tokenized private equities policy advocacy; staking clarity desired; FIT21 views Active policy engagement

Management Commentary

  • “Customers have clearly responded — demonstrated by record-breaking net deposits, Robinhood Gold subscriptions, and options volume” (Vlad Tenev) .
  • “Revenues grew 50% year-over-year and EPS more than doubled… adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 11 points” (Jason Warnick) .
  • “Board… increased our share repurchase authorization by $500 million to $1.5 billion… remaining authorization now totals approximately $833 million” (Jason Warnick) .
  • “Crypto… ~$260M in revenue… second highest quarter in recent years… we like to look at market share” (Vlad Tenev) .
  • “April net deposits are around $6.5B… equities trading at a 4-year high… options near all-time high… crypto trading north of $8B” (Jason Warnick) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Gold scaling: cardholders doubled to >200k; strong attach among new customers; banking slated for Q3 rollout as Gold-only product .
  • Crypto take rates: sequentially improving; experimenting with tiered pricing for high-volume traders; April take rates similar to Q1 .
  • Credit losses: delinquency/write-offs very low; Q1 step-up tied to brokerage fraud (non-margin); provisions expected to rise gradually as card rollout expands .
  • Futures adoption: April volumes >4.5M contracts; behaviors incremental and enabled short positioning; futures on Legend planned .
  • NII sensitivity: ~-$50M per 25 bps cut standalone; asset growth and trading offer natural hedge .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $927M actual vs $917.2M estimate* (beat ~1.1%); Primary EPS actual ~$0.44* vs $0.33 estimate* (beat ~35%)*. GAAP diluted EPS printed $0.37 .
  • Prior trend: Q4 2024 revenue beat (~$1.014B actual vs ~$951.8M estimate*), and Primary EPS beat driven in part by a $369M deferred tax benefit in GAAP EPS; Q3 2024 revenue miss ($637M actual vs ~$658.2M estimate*) with Primary EPS beat* .
MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue Actual ($USD Millions)$637 $1,014 $927
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD Millions)$658.2*$951.8*$917.2*
GAAP Diluted EPS Actual ($USD)$0.17 $1.01 $0.37
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($USD)$0.176*$0.446*$0.326*
Primary EPS Actual ($USD)$0.262*$1.039*$0.442*

Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Implications:

  • We expect sell-side models to raise FY25 revenue/EBITDA on sustained deposit growth, active trader engagement, and incremental products; some may moderate NII assumptions amid rate-cut sensitivity (-$50M per 25 bps) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Strong beat-and-raise quarter anchored by diversified transaction revenue (crypto, options, equities) and disciplined cost control; operating leverage evident in 51% adjusted EBITDA margin .
  • Deposit momentum continues into Q2 (April Net Deposits $6.8B), supporting interest-earning assets and securities lending revenue growth even as rates drift lower .
  • Active trader franchise accelerating: Legend volumes largely incremental; futures/prediction markets scaling rapidly, enhancing resilience across market regimes .
  • Strategic M&A and product expansion (TradePMR closed; Bitstamp mid-year target) broaden B2B/international footprint; FY25 expense guide updated to reflect TradePMR costs .
  • Capital returns are a tangible support: buyback authorization increased to $1.5B with ~$833M remaining; management retains flexibility to accelerate repurchases .
  • Watch mix effects: sequential revenue down from record Q4 on crypto normalization; options strength and equities volumes provide offsets; tiered crypto pricing experiments target higher-volume share .
  • Near-term trading setup: catalysts include Banking (Q3), Cortex feature rollouts, and Bitstamp close; rate-cut sensitivities (~$50M per 25 bps on NII) balanced by trading tailwinds and asset growth .

Additional Notes

  • Non-GAAP considerations: Starting Q1 2025, Adjusted OpEx and Adjusted OpEx + SBC exclude provision for credit losses (methodology change) .
  • Q4 2024 GAAP EPS and margins benefited from a $369M deferred tax benefit and a $55M regulatory accrual reversal, inflating GAAP optics vs. underlying run-rate .
  • April operating data corroborate continued engagement: equity notional +26% MoM; options ~flat; crypto -24% MoM; margin balances $8.4B .